StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-11 23:45 UTC

Endstand: Atlanta Braves 4–0 New York Mets

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Atlanta Braves (Heim)

Prognose 60.03%1.67faire Quote
EV +7.46%
Vorteil +4.17%
Kelly +9.44%
Wachstum +0.705%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.66%59.21%60.10%62.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.601.571.7966.67%62.58%63.69%55.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Auswärts)

Prognose 39.97%2.50faire Quote
EV +3.91%
Vorteil +1.50%
Kelly +2.44%
Wachstum +0.096%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.01%40.79%39.90%46.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.302.302.6048.78%43.42%43.48%38.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Atlanta Braves (Heim): 60.03%; New York Mets (Auswärts): 39.97%. Für Atlanta Braves (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.67. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 1.79 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.46%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -14.47%E -6.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV +7.46%E +4.17%K +9.44%G +0.705%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -14.47%E -6.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 20:14
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +6.26%E +3.54%K +8.13%G +0.509%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +6.26%E +3.54%K +8.13%G +0.509%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:15
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 21:14
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV +5.06%E +2.89%K +6.75%G +0.341%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -16.07%E -7.65%K -14.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 21:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +3.86%E +2.23%K +5.29%G +0.204%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +2.06%E +1.21%K +2.94%G +0.060%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -18.07%E -8.81%K -17.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -0.944%E -0.572%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 23:34
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:38
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -14.07%E -6.55%K -12.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:39
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:39
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.48%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV +0.714%E +0.283%K +0.470%G +0.003%3.4%2026-08-11 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 23:39
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:39
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -8.48%E -3.70%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:39
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +3.91%E +1.50%K +2.44%G +0.096%2.6%2026-08-11 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:39
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.88%E -3.89%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.48%E -2.77%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 23:39
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:38
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.95%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:38
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.884%E -0.357%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.884%E -0.357%K -0.598%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-11 23:39
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.08%E -0.850%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.08%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-11 23:39
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -9.35%E -6.19%K -18.33%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +2.71%E +1.06%K +1.73%G +0.047%5.1%2026-08-11 23:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.085%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -0.085%E -0.034%K -0.057%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.95%E -6.63%K -19.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 23:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (9)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-11 23:35
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-11 23:40
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-11 23:40
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-08-11 23:40
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-08-11 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-11 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-11 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%2.1%2026-08-11 23:40
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 62.30%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%11.5%2026-08-11 23:40