Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

2026-08-10 23:15 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 58.08%1.72fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.15%58.03%59.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.651.7064.10%60.88%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Mets (Visit)

Prediction 41.92%2.39fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.768%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.44%41.85%41.97%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.282.4347.62%43.92%43.86%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Braves (Local): 58.08%; New York Mets (Visit): 41.92%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.43, producing a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +1.87%E +0.768%K +1.31%G +0.024%1.8%2026-08-09 19:24
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.649%E -0.274%K -0.474%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.649%E -0.274%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 20:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.649%E -0.274%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.07%E -0.453%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.07%E -0.453%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -1.85%E -1.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.49%E -0.633%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-09 21:24
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.49%E -0.633%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 20:50
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.91%E -0.815%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.75%E -1.18%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 21:25
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.26%E -0.744%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 19:19
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 21:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:30
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:34
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 18:09
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:30
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.84%E -2.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.84%E -2.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 19:14
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.84%E -2.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.26%E -2.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:15
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.26%E -2.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 19:24
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 19:25
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 20:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 18:15
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 18:11
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.10%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.52%E -2.92%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.52%E -2.92%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 20:25
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.78%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 19:15
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.78%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 19:15
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.78%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.78%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.40%E -6.02%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.97%E -5.70%K -10.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-09 21:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-09 21:05
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-08-09 21:35
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%8.8%2026-08-09 21:40
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.02%1xBet 1.70 (58.8%) / Caesars 2.43 (41.2%)Show details
Atlanta Braves (Local)New York Mets (Visit)Margin
1xBet🎯 1.70 (58.8%)Caesars🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%