Language:English
Atlanta Braves v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 56.83%1.76fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.15%56.74%56.77%57.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.11%59.17%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 43.17%2.32fair odd
EV -0.275%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%43.26%43.23%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.202.202.3148.54%45.46%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 56.83%; New York Mets (Visit): 43.17%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.31, with an expected value of -0.275%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.12%E -0.642%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.12%E -0.642%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.12%E -0.642%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.12%E -0.642%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.18%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%EV -0.707%E -0.307%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.82%E -1.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.707%E -0.307%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-10 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.82%E -1.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.707%E -0.307%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-10 13:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.82%E -1.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -2.82%E -1.65%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.48%E -4.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.275%E -0.119%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.707%E -0.307%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.14%E -0.497%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.14%E -0.497%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-10 13:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 23:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.18%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.18%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.34%E -4.45%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.34%E -4.45%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.34%E -4.45%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.34%E -4.45%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 23:03 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-10 13:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-10 07:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.32%E -2.91%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.89%E -2.70%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.89%E -2.70%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -11.07%E -5.37%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.66%E -3.41%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.66%E -3.41%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.66%E -3.41%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.66%E -3.41%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.18%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.23%E -3.78%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 16:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -6.80%E -4.15%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -8.48%E -4.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-10 23:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.94%E -4.90%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 20:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-08-10 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75% | 0.4% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-10 16:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-08-10 23:05 |