Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

Início: 2026-08-10 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 5–8 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 56.83%1.76odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.642%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.15%56.74%56.77%57.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.691.7461.73%59.11%59.17%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 43.17%2.32odd justa
EV -0.275%
Vantagem -0.119%
Kelly -0.210%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.39%43.26%43.23%44.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.062.202.202.3148.54%45.46%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Braves (Local): 56.83%; New York Mets (Visitante): 43.17%. Para New York Mets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.31, com valor esperado de -0.275%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -1.12%E -0.642%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-10 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.12%E -0.642%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.12%E -0.642%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -1.12%E -0.642%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-10 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.18%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -1.69%E -0.974%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%EV -0.707%E -0.307%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-10 23:09
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 23:10
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 23:10
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.25%E -1.31%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.61%E -3.56%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.82%E -1.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.707%E -0.307%K -0.544%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 13:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.82%E -1.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.707%E -0.307%K -0.544%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-10 13:05
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.82%E -1.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-10 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -2.82%E -1.65%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -8.48%E -4.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 23:10
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.275%E -0.119%K -0.210%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 19:20
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.707%E -0.307%K -0.544%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-10 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.14%E -0.497%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.14%E -0.497%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-10 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.43%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-10 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-10 13:00
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:08
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.18%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.18%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.34%E -4.45%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.34%E -4.45%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.34%E -4.45%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.39%E -1.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.34%E -4.45%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 23:03
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-10 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-10 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-10 07:05
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.96%E -2.34%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.32%E -2.91%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.30%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 16:54
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:24
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:24
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.89%E -2.70%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 23:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.53%E -2.69%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.89%E -2.70%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:09
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.87%E -1.27%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.16%E -1.87%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 22:35
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 15:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.10%E -3.05%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%EV -11.07%E -5.37%K -10.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.66%E -3.41%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.73%E -1.67%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 13:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.66%E -3.41%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.66%E -3.41%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.66%E -3.41%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.18%E -3.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.23%E -3.78%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -6.80%E -4.15%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -8.48%E -4.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 23:03
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.94%E -4.90%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.02%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 20:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-08-10 22:40
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-08-10 23:09
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-10 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-08-10 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-10 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-10 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-10 23:09
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-10 16:00
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-10 21:55
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-08-10 23:05