Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves v New York Mets

2026-08-10 23:15 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prévision 58.08%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.744%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.15%58.03%59.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.651.7064.10%60.89%60.61%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.92%2.39cote équitable
EV +1.87%
Avantage +0.768%
Kelly +1.31%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.44%41.85%41.97%42.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.272.4347.62%43.95%43.96%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Atlanta Braves (Local) : 58.08% ; New York Mets (Visiteur) : 41.92%. Pour New York Mets (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.39. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.43, pour une espérance positive de +1.87%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +1.87%E +0.768%K +1.31%G +0.024%1.8%2026-08-09 19:24
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -0.649%E -0.274%K -0.474%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.649%E -0.274%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 20:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.649%E -0.274%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.07%E -0.453%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.07%E -0.453%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -1.85%E -1.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -1.49%E -0.633%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-09 21:24
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.49%E -0.633%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 20:50
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -1.91%E -0.815%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.75%E -1.18%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 21:25
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.26%E -0.744%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.16%E -1.37%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 19:19
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 21:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:30
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:34
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 18:09
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.58%E -1.56%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:30
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 20:25
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.42%E -1.94%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.84%E -2.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.84%E -2.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 19:14
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.84%E -2.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.43%E -1.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.26%E -2.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:15
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.01%E -1.80%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.26%E -2.33%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 19:24
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:10
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 19:25
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 20:50
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.75%E -2.90%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.33%E -3.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 18:15
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.68%E -2.52%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 18:11
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.10%E -2.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.52%E -2.92%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.52%E -2.92%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 20:25
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.78%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 19:15
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.17%E -2.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.78%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.91%E -3.65%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.78%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 21:44
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.49%E -4.03%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.78%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.78%E -3.53%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.23%E -5.21%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.87%E -4.59%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -9.40%E -6.02%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.97%E -5.70%K -10.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-09 22:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-09 21:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-09 21:05
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-08-09 22:35
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 57.60%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%9.2%2026-08-09 22:25
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.02%1xBet 1.70 (58.8%) / Caesars 2.43 (41.2%)Afficher les détails
Atlanta Braves (Local)New York Mets (Visiteur)Marge
1xBet🎯 1.70 (58.8%)Caesars🎯 2.43 (41.2%)+0.024%