Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 6–3 Miami Marlins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 59.60%1.68fair odd
EV -0.474%
Edge -0.284%
Kelly -0.708%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.66%59.49%60.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.611.6765.36%62.36%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 40.40%2.48fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%40.34%40.51%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.352.4344.44%42.28%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 59.60%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 40.40%. For Atlanta Braves (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -0.474%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -0.474%E -0.284%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 22:59
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.22%E -0.919%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 23:14
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 23:13
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 23:14
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.44%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-15 21:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Everygame🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.82%E -0.749%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 21:29
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 23:14
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:09
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 09:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:14
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:59
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:14
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.22%E -0.919%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:09
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:09
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 21:09
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 20:58
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:03
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:54
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 07:10
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 07:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 23:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 21:15
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 02:04
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 05:54
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-15 23:13
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-15 23:14
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-15 22:34
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-15 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-15 23:14
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-15 22:59
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-15 23:04
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-04-15 23:14