La escuela de los momios

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-04-15 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 6–3 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Predicción 59.60%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.474%
Ventaja -0.284%
Kelly -0.708%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%59.66%59.49%60.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.611.6765.36%62.36%62.11%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 40.40%2.48momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.749%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.13%40.34%40.51%41.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.352.4344.44%42.28%42.55%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -0.474%E -0.284%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 22:59
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.22%E -0.919%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 23:14
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 23:10
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 23:13
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 23:14
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.44%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-15 21:29
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Everygame1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.82%E -0.749%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 21:29
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 23:14
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:09
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 21:30
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 09:15
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:44
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:14
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:59
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:15
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:14
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.22%E -0.919%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:09
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:09
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 21:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 20:58
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:03
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:54
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 07:10
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 07:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 07:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 23:14
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 21:15
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:49
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 02:04
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 05:54
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 23:05
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 20:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-15 23:13
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-15 23:14
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-15 22:34
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-15 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-15 23:14
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-15 22:59
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-15 23:04
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-04-15 23:14