مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-04-15 23:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atlanta Braves 6–3 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atlanta Braves (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.60%1.68السعر العادل
EV -0.474%
الأفضلية -0.284%
Kelly -0.708%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.67%59.66%59.49%60.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.601.611.6765.36%62.36%62.11%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.40%2.48السعر العادل
EV -1.82%
الأفضلية -0.749%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.13%40.34%40.51%41.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.372.352.4344.44%42.28%42.55%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -0.474%E -0.284%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 22:59
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.22%E -0.919%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 23:14
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 23:10
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 23:13
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 23:14
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.44%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-15 21:29
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Everygame1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.82%E -0.749%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 21:29
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 23:14
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:09
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 21:30
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 09:15
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:44
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:14
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:59
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:15
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:14
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.22%E -0.919%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:09
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:09
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 21:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 20:58
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:03
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:54
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 07:10
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 07:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 07:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 23:14
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 21:15
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:49
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 02:04
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 05:54
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 23:05
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 20:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-15 23:13
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-15 23:14
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-15 22:34
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-15 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-15 23:14
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-15 22:59
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-15 23:04
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-04-15 23:14