A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Braves v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-04-15 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 6–3 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 59.60%1.68odd justa
EV -0.474%
Vantagem -0.284%
Kelly -0.708%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.67%59.66%59.49%60.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.601.611.6765.36%62.36%62.11%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 40.40%2.48odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -0.749%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.13%40.34%40.51%41.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.372.352.4344.44%42.28%42.55%41.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -0.474%E -0.284%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 22:59
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.22%E -0.919%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 23:14
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 23:10
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 23:13
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.67%E -1.01%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 23:14
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -3.44%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-15 21:29
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Everygame1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.86%E -1.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.82%E -0.749%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 21:29
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 23:14
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 22:34
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:14
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.45%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:09
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 21:30
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 09:15
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:44
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 21:14
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:59
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:34
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:14
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 23:15
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:14
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.22%E -0.919%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:09
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 07:09
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 21:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:04
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 20:58
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 23:03
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 20:54
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 07:10
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.24%E -3.30%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 07:10
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 07:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 23:14
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 21:15
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:49
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 02:04
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 23:14
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.03%E -4.51%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 05:54
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 23:05
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 20:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-04-15 23:13
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-15 23:14
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-15 22:34
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-15 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-04-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-04-15 23:14
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-04-15 22:59
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-15 23:04
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-04-15 23:14