Language:English
Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Prediction 52.54%1.90fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.933%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%52.53%52.60%53.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.821.821.8756.18%54.92%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 47.46%2.11fair odd
EV +0.609%
Edge +0.287%
Kelly +0.544%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.06%47.47%47.40%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.022.1251.28%49.55%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Braves (Local): 52.54%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 47.46%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.609%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV +0.609%E +0.287%K +0.544%G +0.003% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -0.815%E -0.390%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.29%E -0.620%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.29%E -0.620%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 21:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 14:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.95%E -3.32%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 15:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 12:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 14:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 12:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 15:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.47%E -3.64%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 23:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.46%E -3.83%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |