La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Braves (Local)
Predicción 52.54%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.933%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.70%52.53%52.60%53.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.821.821.8756.18%54.92%54.95%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Cubs (Visitante)
Predicción 47.46%2.11momio equitativo
EV +0.609%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.544%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.06%47.47%47.40%48.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.022.022.1251.28%49.55%49.50%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV +0.609%E +0.287%K +0.544%G +0.003% | 2.4% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -0.815%E -0.390%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 19:15 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.29%E -0.620%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.29%E -0.620%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| GTbets | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Everygame | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 21:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 14:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.95%E -3.32%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 15:25 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 15:25 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 15:04 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 12:44 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 14:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 12:43 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 14:09 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:29 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 15:20 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 15:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 15:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 15:05 |
| Betsson | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.47%E -3.64%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 23:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.46%E -3.83%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 20:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| BetOpenly | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-05-12 23:14 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 2.7% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |