Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-05-12 23:16 UTC

Finale: Atlanta Braves 5–2 Chicago Cubs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atlanta Braves (Casa)

Previsione 52.54%1.90quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.933%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.70%52.53%52.60%53.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.821.821.8756.18%54.92%54.95%53.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.46%2.11quota equa
EV +0.609%
Vantaggio +0.287%
Kelly +0.544%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.06%47.47%47.40%48.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.022.022.1251.28%49.55%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atlanta Braves (Casa): 52.54%; Chicago Cubs (Trasferta): 47.46%. Per Chicago Cubs (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.11. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.12, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.609%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV +0.609%E +0.287%K +0.544%G +0.003%2.4%2026-05-12 23:14
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -0.815%E -0.390%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 19:15
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.29%E -0.620%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.29%E -0.620%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 23:00
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:15
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:14
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 23:14
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 21:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 23:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 16:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:00
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 23:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:15
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 14:09
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.95%E -3.32%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 15:25
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 15:25
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 15:04
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:15
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 12:44
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 14:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 14:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 12:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 14:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 15:20
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 15:19
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:05
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.47%E -3.64%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 23:13
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.46%E -3.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 20:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-05-12 23:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-12 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-05-12 23:15
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-05-12 23:14
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%2.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-05-12 23:15