A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Braves v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-05-12 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 5–2 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 52.54%1.90odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -0.933%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.70%52.53%52.60%53.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.821.821.8756.18%54.92%54.95%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 47.46%2.11odd justa
EV +0.609%
Vantagem +0.287%
Kelly +0.544%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.06%47.47%47.40%48.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.022.022.1251.28%49.55%49.50%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV +0.609%E +0.287%K +0.544%G +0.003%2.4%2026-05-12 23:14
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -0.815%E -0.390%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-12 19:15
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.29%E -0.620%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 23:15
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.29%E -0.620%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 23:14
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 23:00
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:15
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:14
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 23:14
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 21:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 23:15
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.74%E -0.933%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 23:15
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 16:40
MyBookie.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 23:00
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 23:14
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:15
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 14:09
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 23:15
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.90%E -2.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 16:39
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:14
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 12:44
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.95%E -3.32%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.14%E -2.05%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 15:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 15:25
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 15:04
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 12:44
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 23:14
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 21:50
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.37%E -2.40%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 14:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 14:09
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 12:43
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 14:09
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 14:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:29
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.09%E -2.54%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 15:20
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 15:20
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.80%E -1.51%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 15:19
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:05
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.85%E -2.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 15:04
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.04%E -3.05%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 23:15
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.47%E -3.64%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.51%E -3.30%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 23:13
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.42%E -3.01%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.46%E -3.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 20:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-05-12 23:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-12 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-05-12 23:00
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-05-12 23:15
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-05-12 23:14
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%2.0%2026-05-12 23:15
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%2.7%2026-05-12 23:15