Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-15 23:15 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Prediction 56.51%1.77fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.46%56.51%57.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.701.7562.50%59.21%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 43.49%2.30fair odd
EV +0.456%
Edge +0.198%
Kelly +0.348%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.39%43.54%43.49%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.172.3148.78%45.78%46.08%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Braves (Local): 56.51%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 43.49%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.31, producing a positive expected value of +0.456%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.456%E +0.198%K +0.348%G +0.002%2.1%2026-08-14 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +0.022%E +0.009%K +0.017%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +0.022%E +0.009%K +0.017%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-14 18:00
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.80%E -1.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.28%E -0.565%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 17:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.49%E -2.66%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.15%E -0.957%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 18:09
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.62%E -3.37%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.15%E -0.957%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.62%E -3.37%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.59%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 18:04
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.36%E -1.97%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 18:04
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.49%E -2.66%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.06%E -3.01%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:04
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.06%E -3.01%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.33%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 17:59
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.20%E -2.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.62%E -3.37%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.63%E -2.60%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:09
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.36%E -1.97%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.36%E -1.97%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.36%E -1.97%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.06%E -3.01%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 17:59
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.62%E -3.37%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 17:59
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.50%E -3.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:04
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.10%E -0.631%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.94%E -3.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 17:59
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.23%E -1.29%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.80%E -1.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.02%E -5.60%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.68%E -4.13%K -7.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.58%E -5.99%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.85%E -5.29%K -10.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-14 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-14 19:29
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-14 18:45
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%10.2%2026-08-14 18:04
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 56.99%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.01%11.8%2026-08-14 18:25

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