默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-15 23:15 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atlanta Braves (主队)

预测 55.95%1.79公平赔率
EV -2.10%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -2.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.83%55.88%55.91%56.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.711.711.7561.73%58.57%58.48%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)

预测 44.05%2.27公平赔率
EV +0.005%
优势 +0.002%
Kelly +0.004%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.27

博彩公司预测分布
43.11%44.12%44.09%45.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.152.152.2750.00%46.42%46.51%44.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Atlanta Braves (主队):55.95%;Arizona Diamondbacks (客队):44.05%。 对于“Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.2699。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.2700,由此产生+0.005%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-14 17:59
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.876%E -0.389%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 20:35
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.876%E -0.389%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-14 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.20%E -0.990%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.20%E -0.990%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 20:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 20:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 20:39
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 20:39
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 17:59
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:59
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 20:20
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 17:59
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.10%E -1.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 17:59
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.16%E -2.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 20:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.16%E -2.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 20:39
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 20:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:00
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.37%E -5.78%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 20:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-14 20:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-08-14 19:29
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%10.0%2026-08-14 20:40
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 56.13%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%10.7%2026-08-14 20:35

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