預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Atlanta Braves v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-08-15 23:15 UTC — MLB

獨贏

27 家博彩公司 (12 家納入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Atlanta Braves (主隊)

預測 55.95%1.79公平賠率

EV -2.10%

優勢 -1.20%

Kelly -2.79%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.75

博彩公司預測分布

54.83%55.88%55.91%56.89%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.621.711.711.7561.73%58.57%58.48%57.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Arizona Diamondbacks (客隊)

預測 44.05%2.27公平賠率

EV +0.005%

優勢 +0.002%

Kelly +0.004%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.27

博彩公司預測分布

43.11%44.12%44.09%45.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.002.152.152.2750.00%46.42%46.51%44.05%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為：Atlanta Braves (主隊)：55.95%；Arizona Diamondbacks (客隊)：44.05%。對於「Arizona Diamondbacks (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.2699的公平十進位賠率。有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率；目前最佳賠率為2.2700，因此產生+0.005%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
1xBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-14 17:59
GTbets🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.876%E -0.389%K -0.701%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-14 20:35
Caesars🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.876%E -0.389%K -0.701%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-14 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.20%E -0.990%K -1.80%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-14 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.20%E -0.990%K -1.80%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-14 20:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-14 20:35
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-14 18:04
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-14 20:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-14 20:39
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-14 20:39
888sport🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-14 17:59
Bet Right🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-14 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-14 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-14 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-14 20:39
Betr (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-14 17:59
Fliff🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-14 20:20
Bet Victor🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-14 17:59
FanDuel🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.10%E -1.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-14 17:59
Bovada🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.16%E -2.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-14 20:29
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.16%E -2.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-14 20:39
PlayUp🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-14 20:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-14 17:54
SportsBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-14 18:00
ReBet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-14 20:39
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.25%E -5.03%K -12.89%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-08-14 20:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.37%E -5.78%K -15.11%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-08-14 20:39

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Polymarket◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	0.9%	2026-08-14 20:10
Kalshi◎	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.1%	2026-08-14 19:29
Smarkets◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%	10.0%	2026-08-14 20:40
Novig◎	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.13%	2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%	10.7%	2026-08-14 20:35

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