Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves v Arizona Diamondbacks

Início: 2026-08-15 23:16 UTC

Final: Atlanta Braves 3–10 Arizona Diamondbacks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Atlanta Braves (Local)

Previsão 55.17%1.81odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.693%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.95%55.13%55.20%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.741.7960.61%57.65%57.47%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Previsão 44.83%2.23odd justa
EV -0.036%
Vantagem -0.016%
Kelly -0.029%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.87%44.80%46.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.132.122.2348.78%46.92%47.17%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Atlanta Braves (Local): 55.17%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante): 44.83%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.231. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.230, com valor esperado de -0.036%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -1.24%E -0.693%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 20:14
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.38%E -0.627%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.38%E -0.627%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 17:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.38%E -0.627%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 05:09
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.38%E -0.627%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 20:30
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.83%E -0.835%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-15 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.28%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.28%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 23:04
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.28%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-15 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.34%E -1.32%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.17%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 20:24
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.036%E -0.016%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-15 20:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 12:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.07%E -1.90%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 20:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:30
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.45%E -1.97%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:03
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 17:19
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.07%E -1.90%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.07%E -1.90%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.07%E -1.90%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 20:24
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:25
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:25
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:24
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 20:25
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.00%E -2.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 23:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 21:19
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 20:24
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:49
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:49
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.55%E -2.63%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:04
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:08
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.97%E -2.34%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.07%E -1.90%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 23:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 20:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.65%E -3.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 20:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.86%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.62%E -1.68%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 20:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.21%E -3.48%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 22:48
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.10%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 20:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.38%E -0.627%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-08-15 23:14
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-08-15 22:49
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-15 23:14
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-15 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-15 23:14
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-15 13:20
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-15 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-15 23:04
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-08-15 22:05