The School of Odds

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-28 01:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 40.95%2.44fair odd
EV -0.890%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.627%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.49%40.90%40.99%42.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4246.51%42.89%42.55%41.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 59.05%1.69fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.40%59.10%59.01%60.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.611.6764.94%62.10%62.11%59.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.890%E -0.368%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 19:00
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -0.890%E -0.368%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 18:45
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.71%E -0.712%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.71%E -0.712%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 19:00
1xBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.12%E -0.887%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.98%E -1.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 19:25
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -2.12%E -0.887%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.89%E -5.06%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:45
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.53%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 18:45
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.53%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 18:45
MyBookie.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.35%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.35%E -2.68%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.76%E -2.30%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 19:20
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 19:00
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 19:00
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.76%E -1.60%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 19:00
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.17%E -1.78%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.58%E -1.96%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.35%E -2.68%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 19:00
DraftKings2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -3.76%E -2.30%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 19:00
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.99%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.76%E -2.30%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:00
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.35%E -2.68%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:15
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.80%E -2.52%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.53%E -3.45%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 19:00
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.39%E -0.835%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:15
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 18:55
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.90%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.48%E -5.47%K -15.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 19:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.95%E -5.56%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.07%E -5.89%K -16.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-26 18:55
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.07%1.4%2026-07-26 19:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-26 19:25
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%10.0%2026-07-26 19:15