Language:English
Athletics v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletics (Local)
Prediction 36.67%2.73fair odd
EV +0.121%
Edge +0.044%
Kelly +0.070%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%36.66%36.59%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.602.602.7340.82%38.42%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 63.33%1.58fair odd
EV -0.579%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.34%63.41%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5769.44%66.27%66.23%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 36.67%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 63.33%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.727. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.730, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.121%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +0.121%E +0.044%K +0.070%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.979%E -0.363%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.979%E -0.363%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -1.35%E -0.500%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.08%E -0.779%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.08%E -0.779%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-28 00:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.08%E -0.779%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-28 00:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.45%E -0.919%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 01:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-28 00:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-28 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.75%E -2.46%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.55%E -1.35%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 01:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.579%E -0.369%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 00:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 01:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.75%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.75%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.46%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 01:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 01:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.31%E -3.33%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.28%EV -8.68%E -3.49%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 01:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.15%E -4.14%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.15%E -4.14%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30% | 3.0% | 2026-07-28 01:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
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