Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-07-28 01:40 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–4 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 36.67%2.73odd justa
EV +0.121%
Vantagem +0.044%
Kelly +0.070%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.25%36.66%36.59%37.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.602.602.7340.82%38.42%38.46%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 63.33%1.58odd justa
EV -0.579%
Vantagem -0.369%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.03%63.34%63.41%64.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.511.5769.44%66.27%66.23%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 36.67%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 63.33%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.727. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.730, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.121%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +0.121%E +0.044%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 01:35
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.979%E -0.363%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 01:00
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.979%E -0.363%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -1.35%E -0.500%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.08%E -0.779%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -2.08%E -0.779%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 00:50
BetAnything🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.08%E -0.779%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 00:50
Bovada🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.45%E -0.919%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 01:24
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 00:50
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 01:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 01:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.75%E -2.46%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-28 01:35
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 01:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.81%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 01:00
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.18%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 01:35
DraftKings🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.55%E -1.35%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 01:00
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.48%E -1.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-28 01:20
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:35
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.91%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.81%E -6.12%K -20.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 01:35
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.579%E -0.369%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-28 00:34
SportsBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.28%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 23:30
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 21:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 01:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 01:30
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:30
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 00:50
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:30
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:35
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:35
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:30
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.65%E -1.79%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 01:05
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.75%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:00
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.75%E -2.24%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.38%E -2.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 01:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 01:00
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.11%E -2.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 01:00
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.75%E -2.46%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 01:00
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 22:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.48%E -2.54%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 01:00
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.31%E -3.33%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.91%E -4.70%K -14.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 01:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.28%EV -8.68%E -3.49%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -6.28%E -4.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 01:22
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.15%E -4.14%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 01:35
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.15%E -4.14%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.01%E -3.34%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 01:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-07-28 01:35
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-28 01:35
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-28 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-07-28 01:35
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-07-28 01:35
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-07-28 01:35
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%3.0%2026-07-28 01:35
BetOpenly2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%5.8%2026-07-28 01:10