La scuola delle quote

Athletics v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-28 01:40 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Athletics (Casa)

Previsione 40.65%2.46quota equa
EV -1.63%
Vantaggio -0.673%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.49%40.64%40.66%41.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.342.352.4245.45%42.67%42.55%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Red Sox (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.35%1.68quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -3.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.52%59.36%59.34%60.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.611.601.6564.94%62.31%62.31%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.63%E -0.673%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 19:00
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.63%E -0.673%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 18:45
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.03%E -0.844%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 20:25
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.03%E -0.844%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 19:55
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 19:00
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 19:50
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:45
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-26 18:45
MyBookie.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 20:24
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 18:45
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 19:20
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 19:48
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 20:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 20:10
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 20:20
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 19:00
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 19:00
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 19:00
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:55
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 20:21
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.69%E -2.45%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 20:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:00
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 19:15
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 20:15
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 20:25
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:55
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 20:20
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 20:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 20:21
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 20:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-26 20:15
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-07-26 20:25
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%2.5%2026-07-26 20:25
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-07-26 20:20