Athletics v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-28 01:40 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

41%

59%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletics (Local)

Prévision 40.65%2.46cote équitable

EV -1.63%

Avantage -0.673%

Kelly -1.15%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

39.49%40.64%40.66%41.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

2.202.342.352.4245.45%42.67%42.55%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.35%1.68cote équitable

EV -2.07%

Avantage -1.26%

Kelly -3.19%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

58.52%59.36%59.34%60.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Distribution des cotes

1.541.611.601.6564.94%62.31%62.31%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local ▼	Visiteur	Marge	Mise à jour
GTbets	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.63%E -0.673%K -1.15%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-26 19:00
FanDuel	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -1.63%E -0.673%K -1.15%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-26 18:45
1xBet	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.03%E -0.844%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-26 20:25
Bovada	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.03%E -0.844%K -1.44%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-26 19:55
LowVig.ag	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-26 19:00
BetOnline.ag	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-26 19:00
Hard Rock Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-26 19:50
SportsBet	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -2.85%E -1.19%K -2.05%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-26 18:45
BetUS	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.07%E -1.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-07-26 18:45
MyBookie.ag	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-26 20:24
Paddy Power	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-26 18:45
PointsBet (AU)	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-26 19:20
Caesars	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-26 19:48
DraftKings	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-26 20:20
Fanatics	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-26 20:10
Unibet (UK)	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-26 20:20
888sport	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-26 19:00
Mr Green (SE)	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-26 19:00
888sport (SE)	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-26 19:00
Betr (AU)	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-26 19:00
Bet Right	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-26 18:55
Marathon Bet	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-26 20:21
Betclic (FR)	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -5.69%E -2.45%K -4.31%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-26 20:20
PlayUp	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-26 19:00
Fliff	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-26 19:15
Dabble (AU)	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-26 20:15
TAB	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-26 20:25
Winamax (DE)	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-26 18:55
Bet Victor	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-26 20:20
ReBet	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.80%K -6.83%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.96%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-26 20:20
Unibet (FR)	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-07-26 20:21
Winamax (FR)	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.57%E -4.81%K -8.81%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.60%E -5.58%K -15.93%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-07-26 20:20

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
Polymarket	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	1.0%	2026-07-26 20:15
Kalshi	2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%	2.0%	2026-07-26 20:25
Novig	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%	2.5%	2026-07-26 20:25
Smarkets	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%	9.1%	2026-07-26 20:20