Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

2026-08-04 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 49.96%2.00fair odd
EV +0.928%
Edge +0.459%
Kelly +0.910%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.12%49.86%50.00%51.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0254.64%52.25%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visit)

Prediction 50.04%2.00fair odd
EV +0.072%
Edge +0.036%
Kelly +0.072%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.85%50.14%50.00%52.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.47%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 49.96%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 50.04%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.02, producing a positive expected value of +0.928%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +0.928%E +0.459%K +0.910%G +0.008%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:00
Caesars1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.571%E -0.287%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-03 02:14
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.93%E -0.985%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-03 03:30
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.93%E -0.985%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-03 02:15
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 03:30
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 03:45
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:45
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.07%E -1.58%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.93%E -0.985%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.43%E -0.726%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 02:10
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.43%E -0.726%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 02:10
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.43%E -0.726%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 02:10
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.43%E -0.726%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 02:14
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 02:24
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 03:39
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 03:39
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 03:39
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:40
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:38
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:25
DraftKings1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:14
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:34
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.072%E +0.036%K +0.072%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:14
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:25
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 20:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:09
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:29
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:20
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:29
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:39
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:39
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:30
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:24
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:39
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 01:44
BetAnything1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:09
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:20
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:25
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:10
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 02:20
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:49
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:49
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 02:19
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 02:23
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 02:19
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 02:49
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.38%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -7.93%E -4.31%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 02:20
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -8.07%E -4.38%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 02:25
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.57%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 22:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-08-03 02:59
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-03 03:29
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-03 02:10
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-03 03:25
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-03 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-08-03 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-08-03 03:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-08-03 03:10
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-03 03:50
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%3.6%2026-08-03 03:45
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.50%Dabble (AU) 2.02 (49.8%) / Everygame 2.00 (50.2%)Show details
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)San Diego Padres (Visit)Margin
Dabble (AU) 2.02 (49.8%)Everygame 2.00 (50.2%)+0.498%