Language:English
Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Prediction 50.57%1.98fair odd
EV -0.368%
Edge -0.187%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.61%50.53%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9755.56%53.10%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 49.43%2.02fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.39%49.47%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.931.932.0053.48%51.74%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 50.57%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 49.43%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.97, with an expected value of -0.368%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.368%E -0.187%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 01:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.874%E -0.446%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.874%E -0.446%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.708%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.15%E -0.574%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.15%E -0.574%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 01:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.15%E -0.574%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.15%E -0.574%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 01:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 01:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 01:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 01:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
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