默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

开赛时间: 2026-08-04 01:41 UTC

最终结果: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–1 San Diego Padres

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona Diamondbacks (主队)

预测 50.57%1.98公平赔率
EV -0.368%
优势 -0.187%
Kelly -0.380%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布
49.47%50.61%50.53%51.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.881.881.9755.56%53.10%53.19%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Diego Padres (客队)

预测 49.43%2.02公平赔率
EV -1.15%
优势 -0.574%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
48.41%49.39%49.47%50.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.931.932.0053.48%51.74%51.81%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Arizona Diamondbacks (主队):50.57%;San Diego Padres (客队):49.43%。 对于“Arizona Diamondbacks (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.98。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.97,期望值为-0.368%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -0.368%E -0.187%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.874%E -0.446%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-04 01:40
Caesars🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.874%E -0.446%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 01:25
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.708%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 01:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-04 01:35
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-04 01:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.90%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.15%E -0.574%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 01:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.15%E -0.574%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 01:34
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 01:34
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:34
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:39
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:39
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:25
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 01:35
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 00:59
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:39
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:33
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 01:39
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.41%E -2.34%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:29
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.15%E -0.574%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 01:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.15%E -0.574%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 01:34
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 01:35
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 01:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:34
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:34
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 01:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 01:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.43%E -2.90%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 01:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:20
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:25
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:20
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:20
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:20
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 01:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 01:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -4.11%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 01:34
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 01:39
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 01:25
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 01:34
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 01:35
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.97%E -4.98%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 01:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-08-04 01:40
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-04 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-04 01:40
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 01:05
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 01:35
ProphetX◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-04 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-08-04 01:40
Matchbook◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-08-04 01:40
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-08-04 01:40
BetOpenly◎1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-08-04 01:39