Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

2026-08-04 01:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 50.04%2.00cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.531%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.12%50.23%50.00%51.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.901.912.0254.64%52.52%52.36%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.96%2.00cote équitable
EV +0.928%
Avantage +0.459%
Kelly +0.910%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.21%49.77%50.00%52.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.921.912.0255.56%52.20%52.36%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Arizona Diamondbacks (Local) : 50.04% ; San Diego Padres (Visiteur) : 49.96%. Pour Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.00. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.02, pour une espérance positive de +1.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +1.07%E +0.531%K +1.05%G +0.011%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -10.06%E -5.59%K -12.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 03:00
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.93%E -0.985%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.06%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-03 03:30
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 03:54
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-03 03:30
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 03:39
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 03:39
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 03:39
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.57%E -4.09%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 02:40
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.57%E -1.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 04:25
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
Bally Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:38
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -3.93%E -2.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 03:39
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV +0.428%E +0.213%K +0.424%G +0.002%2.1%2026-08-03 04:44
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.071%E -0.036%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:54
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.071%E -0.036%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:54
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.071%E -0.036%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:54
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.071%E -0.036%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:54
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.071%E -0.036%K -0.071%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-03 03:14
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:25
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 04:05
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 04:04
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:24
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:09
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 04:25
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 20:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 02:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:29
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:39
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 03:39
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 02:30
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:39
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 04:00
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.07%E -2.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 04:25
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 04:25
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 04:25
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 03:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:20
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:10
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.93%E -2.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.67%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:24
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:30
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.39%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:29
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.87%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.95%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 04:23
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV +0.928%E +0.459%K +0.910%G +0.008%2.7%2026-08-03 04:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 04:48
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 04:25
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 02:23
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 02:19
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.57%E -3.51%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 02:49
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.07%E -0.541%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 04:42
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.07%E -0.541%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 04:39
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.57%E -1.32%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:40
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -7.93%E -4.31%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.38%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 02:20
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -8.07%E -4.38%K -9.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-03 04:24
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.57%E -4.68%K -10.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-03 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-03 04:55
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-03 03:25
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-03 04:50
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-08-03 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-08-03 04:39
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-08-03 04:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-03 04:15
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%2.8%2026-08-03 04:40
Arbitrage (7 combinaisons) +1.00%Dabble (AU) 2.02 (50.0%) / Pinnacle 2.02 (50.0%)Afficher les 7 combinaisons
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)San Diego Padres (Visiteur)Marge
Dabble (AU) 2.02 (50.0%)Pinnacle 2.02 (50.0%)+1.00%
Dabble (AU) 2.02 (49.9%)1xBet 2.01 (50.1%)+0.749%
Dabble (AU) 2.02 (49.8%)BetOnline.ag 2.00 (50.2%)+0.498%
Dabble (AU) 2.02 (49.8%)LowVig.ag 2.00 (50.2%)+0.498%
Dabble (AU) 2.02 (49.8%)GTbets 2.00 (50.2%)+0.498%
Dabble (AU) 2.02 (49.8%)BetUS 2.00 (50.2%)+0.498%
Dabble (AU) 2.02 (49.8%)Everygame 2.00 (50.2%)+0.498%