Language:English
Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Prediction 44.01%2.27fair odd
EV -0.107%
Edge -0.047%
Kelly -0.084%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%44.01%44.01%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.172.162.2748.54%46.18%46.30%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 55.99%1.79fair odd
EV -0.330%
Edge -0.185%
Kelly -0.423%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%55.99%55.99%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.711.711.7861.73%58.49%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 44.01%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 55.99%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.272. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.270, with an expected value of -0.107%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.107%E -0.047%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.987%E -0.439%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 23:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.987%E -0.439%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.987%E -0.439%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 01:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.987%E -0.439%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.43%E -0.637%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.43%E -0.637%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 01:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.43%E -0.637%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 01:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.45%E -0.824%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-06 01:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-05 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -0.330%E -0.185%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.63%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.63%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 01:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 00:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.51%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.51%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 01:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 01:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 01:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.83%E -2.72%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.71%E -3.16%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.71%E -3.16%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 01:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.47%E -4.07%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.47%E -4.07%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.35%E -4.54%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 01:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 01:39 |