Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

2026-08-06 01:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 49.24%2.03cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.507%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.59%49.28%49.34%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.922.0154.64%51.91%52.08%49.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.76%1.97cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.527%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.72%50.66%51.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.891.891.9556.18%52.96%52.91%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Arizona Diamondbacks (Local) : 49.24% ; San Diego Padres (Visiteur) : 50.76%. Pour Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.03. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.01, pour une espérance de -1.02% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Caesars2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.02%E -0.507%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:04
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.02%E -0.507%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:05
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.02%E -0.507%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:05
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.02%E -0.507%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:09
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.02%E -0.507%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-05 01:59
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.53%E -0.791%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 01:30
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 01:25
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.03%E -0.527%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-05 01:40
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.07%E -2.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 00:35
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:10
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:04
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:45
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:54
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:54
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:55
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.04%E -1.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 01:40
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:19
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:55
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:55
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:55
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:54
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.55%E -1.33%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 01:54
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:35
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:49
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.07%E -2.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 02:24
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:23
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:30
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:29
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.60%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:20
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:24
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:05
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:04
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:04
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:20
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:54
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:55
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:55
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:55
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.06%E -1.60%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 01:54
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.07%E -2.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:35
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:44
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.09%E -2.72%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 02:39
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.60%E -3.01%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 01:20
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:04
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.10%E -3.30%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:23
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:39
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:49
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 01:54
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:55
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.58%E -2.44%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 01:54
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.32%EV -8.40%E -4.52%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.68%EV -8.13%E -4.49%K -10.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 01:45
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -9.39%E -5.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -9.66%E -5.42%K -12.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-05 01:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.89%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 01:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.38%0.3%2026-08-05 02:30
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-05 02:20
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-05 00:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-05 02:00
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%3.1%2026-08-05 02:15
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%5.8%2026-08-05 02:05
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-08-05 01:20