Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-08-06 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 10–4 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 44.01%2.27odd justa
EV -0.107%
Vantagem -0.047%
Kelly -0.084%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.86%44.01%44.01%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.062.172.162.2748.54%46.18%46.30%44.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 55.99%1.79odd justa
EV -0.330%
Vantagem -0.185%
Kelly -0.423%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.55%55.99%55.99%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.711.711.7861.73%58.49%58.48%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 44.01%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 55.99%. Para Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.272. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.270, com valor esperado de -0.107%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.107%E -0.047%K -0.084%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 01:35
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.987%E -0.439%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-05 23:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.987%E -0.439%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 00:45
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.987%E -0.439%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 01:34
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.987%E -0.439%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.29%E -5.73%K -14.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 01:30
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -1.43%E -0.637%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 01:05
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.43%E -0.637%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-06 01:39
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.43%E -0.637%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 01:39
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.45%E -0.824%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-06 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.31%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-06 01:35
theScore Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.75%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-05 23:40
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -0.330%E -0.185%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-05 23:05
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-06 01:30
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 01:40
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 22:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.19%E -1.45%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.63%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 00:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -3.63%E -1.66%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-06 01:39
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:14
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.07%E -1.87%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 00:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.51%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.51%E -2.08%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 22:50
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:50
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:50
Bally Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:50
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.95%E -2.29%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 22:50
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.57%E -1.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 00:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 01:34
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 23:30
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:30
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:50
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.37%E -3.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 01:39
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.39%E -2.51%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.49%E -3.89%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 23:15
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.83%E -2.72%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.69%E -2.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 23:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.71%E -3.16%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.71%E -3.16%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.01%E -1.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 01:30
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.13%E -1.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.25%E -2.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 01:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 01:40
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:40
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.59%E -3.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 01:40
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.47%E -4.07%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.81%E -2.83%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 01:40
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -8.47%E -4.07%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.61%E -4.61%K -11.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.35%E -4.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -5.93%E -3.53%K -8.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 01:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-06 01:20
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-06 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-08-06 01:40
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-06 01:40
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-06 01:35
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-08-06 01:40
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-08-06 01:40
BetOpenly◎1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%8.7%2026-08-06 01:39