Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-23 00:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 59.77%1.67fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%59.89%59.75%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.88%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 40.23%2.49fair odd
EV +2.58%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.11%40.25%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.5544.44%41.99%42.02%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 59.77%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 40.23%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.55, producing a positive expected value of +2.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.34%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.58%E +1.01%K +1.67%G +0.043%5.9%2026-08-22 00:04
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +1.38%E +0.546%K +0.906%G +0.012%3.8%2026-08-22 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -3.17%E -1.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.572%E +0.229%K +0.381%G +0.002%1.7%2026-08-22 00:04
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.35%E -4.74%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.572%E +0.229%K +0.381%G +0.002%4.5%2026-08-22 00:04
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -9.15%E -6.02%K -17.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -0.232%E -0.094%K -0.157%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 00:04
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.57%E -1.58%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.04%E -0.422%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 00:55
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -1.38%E -0.835%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -2.24%E -0.923%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-21 21:54
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.38%E -0.835%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-21 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 00:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.65%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 00:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.38%E -0.835%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.38%E -0.835%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 21:53
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 00:29
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.96%E -3.12%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 00:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 00:50
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.26%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 00:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.57%E -1.58%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 22:04
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 22:14
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-21 21:54
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 00:20
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 00:20
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 00:20
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 00:15
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 00:37
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.86%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 00:38
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.67%E -2.87%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.67%E -2.87%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 00:20
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 00:04
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.95%E -5.16%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.95%E -5.16%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 00:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.95%E -5.16%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-21 22:30
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-22 00:04
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-08-22 01:00
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 59.20%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%10.4%2026-08-22 00:40
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.18%GTbets 1.65 (60.7%) / Paddy Power 2.55 (39.3%)Show all 4 combinations
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)Cincinnati Reds (Visit)Margin
Caesars🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Paddy Power🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
GTbets🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Paddy Power🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
LowVig.ag🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Paddy Power🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.65 (60.7%)Paddy Power🎯 2.55 (39.3%)+0.179%

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