Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Cincinnati Reds

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 00:10 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–11 Cincinnati Reds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 63.36%1.58fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%63.12%63.34%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.511.5669.93%66.25%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 36.64%2.73fair odd
EV +0.038%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.022%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.88%36.66%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.7341.67%38.43%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 63.36%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 36.64%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.729. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.730, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.038%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +0.038%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 00:04
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.328%E -0.121%K -0.191%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 21:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-22 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.43%E -0.531%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 00:04
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -1.79%E -0.669%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.16%E -0.809%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 22:00
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.77%E -6.09%K -19.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 21:54
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:24
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:00
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.09%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 00:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -5.09%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 23:29
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.83%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.83%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.19%E -2.42%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:04
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 20:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.40%E -6.57%K -21.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 00:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 21:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 23:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 23:57
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-08-23 00:04
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-08-23 00:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-22 22:00
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-22 21:55
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-23 00:10
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-22 23:44