Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 00:10 UTC

Score final : Arizona Diamondbacks 5–11 Cincinnati Reds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 63.36%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.747%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.61%63.12%63.34%64.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.511.511.5669.93%66.25%66.23%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.64%2.73cote équitable
EV +0.038%
Avantage +0.014%
Kelly +0.022%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.47%36.88%36.66%39.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.602.7341.67%38.43%38.46%36.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arizona Diamondbacks (Local) : 63.36% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 36.64%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.729. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.730, soit une espérance positive de +0.038%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +0.038%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 00:04
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.328%E -0.121%K -0.191%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 21:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-22 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.43%E -0.531%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 00:04
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -1.79%E -0.669%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.16%E -0.809%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 22:00
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.77%E -6.09%K -19.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 21:54
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:24
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:00
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.09%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 00:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -5.09%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 23:29
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.83%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.83%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.19%E -2.42%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:04
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 20:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.40%E -6.57%K -21.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 00:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 21:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 23:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 23:57
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-08-23 00:04
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-08-23 00:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-22 22:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-22 21:55
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-23 00:10
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-22 23:44