Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-08-23 00:10 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–11 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 63.36%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.747%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.61%63.12%63.34%64.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.511.511.5669.93%66.25%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 36.64%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.038%
Ventaja +0.014%
Kelly +0.022%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%36.88%36.66%39.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.7341.67%38.43%38.46%36.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 63.36%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 36.64%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.729. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.730, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.038%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +0.038%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 00:04
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.328%E -0.121%K -0.191%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 21:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-22 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.43%E -0.531%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 00:04
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -1.79%E -0.669%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.16%E -0.809%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 22:00
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.77%E -6.09%K -19.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 21:54
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:24
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:00
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.09%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 00:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -5.09%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 23:29
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.83%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.83%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.19%E -2.42%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:04
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 20:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.40%E -6.57%K -21.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 00:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 21:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 23:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 23:57
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-08-23 00:04
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-08-23 00:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-22 22:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-22 21:55
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-23 00:10
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-22 23:44