Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-08-23 00:10 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–11 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 63.36%1.58odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.747%
Kelly -2.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.61%63.12%63.34%64.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.511.511.5669.93%66.25%66.23%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 36.64%2.73odd justa
EV +0.038%
Vantagem +0.014%
Kelly +0.022%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.47%36.88%36.66%39.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.602.602.7341.67%38.43%38.46%36.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 63.36%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 36.64%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.729. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.730, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.038%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +0.038%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 00:04
Caesars🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.328%E -0.121%K -0.191%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-22 21:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.1%2026-08-22 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 00:04
theScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.06%E -0.393%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-23 00:04
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.43%E -0.531%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-23 00:04
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV -1.79%E -0.669%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-22 23:35
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.16%E -0.809%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 00:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.60%E -3.76%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.89%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.26%E -1.23%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-22 22:00
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.77%E -6.09%K -19.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.99%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 21:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 00:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 21:54
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:24
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:00
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 00:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.87%E -4.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.73%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.09%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 00:09
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -5.09%E -1.97%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 23:29
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.83%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:04
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.83%E -2.27%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.33%E -2.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.19%E -2.42%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:04
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.07%E -2.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 20:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 21:54
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.40%E -6.57%K -21.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.56%E -2.57%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 00:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.70%E -2.43%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.39%E -3.36%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 21:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.23%E -4.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -9.12%E -3.68%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 23:43
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -10.22%E -4.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.16%E -0.747%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -2.43%E -1.58%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 00:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 23:57
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.97%E -3.31%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 00:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-08-23 00:04
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-08-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-23 00:10
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-08-23 00:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-22 22:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-22 21:55
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-08-23 00:10
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-08-22 23:44