Washington Commanders v Indianapolis Colts

2026-10-04 13:30 — NFL

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

Option 1: Washington Commanders (Local)

Odds

1.8055.56%Min

1.8653.73%Mean

1.8753.48%Median

1.9152.36%Max

Consensus probabilities

50.00%2.000Min

51.56%1.939Max

50.97%1.962Mean

51.05%1.959Median

51.05%1.959IQM

50.98%1.962Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.91 under the IQM model: 51.05%

EV -2.49%Edge -1.30%Kelly -2.74%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Odds

1.9052.63%Min

1.9451.61%Mean

1.9451.55%Median

1.9850.51%Max

Consensus probabilities

48.44%2.065Min

50.00%2.000Max

49.03%2.040Mean

48.95%2.043Median

48.95%2.043IQM

49.02%2.040Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.98 under the IQM model: 48.95%

EV -3.08%Edge -1.56%Kelly -3.15%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Washington Commanders (Local) ▼	Indianapolis Colts (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -2.49% E -1.30% K -2.74% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -6.51% E -3.41% K -7.15% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 05:05
Bovada	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -2.49% E -1.30% K -2.74% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -6.51% E -3.41% K -7.15% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-08 15:46
Unibet (UK)	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.91%EV -4.02% E -2.14% K -4.57% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 49.09%EV -4.55% E -2.33% K -4.79% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-24 02:09
SportsBet	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.30%EV -4.53% E -2.42% K -5.21% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 48.70%EV -3.57% E -1.81% K -3.68% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-29 22:59
Caesars	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.17%EV -4.53% E -2.42% K -5.21% G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02% NM 48.83%EV -4.06% E -2.07% K -4.23% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-22 16:56
BetMGM	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.53% E -2.42% K -5.21% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.55% E -2.33% K -4.79% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-13 18:40
theScore Bet	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -4.53% E -2.42% K -5.21% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -4.55% E -2.33% K -4.79% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-24 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.92%EV -4.53% E -2.42% K -5.21% G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.08%EV -5.04% E -2.60% K -5.36% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-13 18:39
Neds	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.92%EV -4.53% E -2.42% K -5.21% G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.08%EV -5.04% E -2.60% K -5.36% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-13 18:40
FanDuel	1.86I 53.76% NM 51.56%EV -5.04% E -2.71% K -5.87% G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51% NM 48.44%EV -3.08% E -1.56% K -3.15% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-29 23:00
Bet Right	1.86I 53.76% NM 51.31%EV -5.04% E -2.71% K -5.87% G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02% NM 48.69%EV -4.06% E -2.07% K -4.23% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-26 02:11
ReBet	1.86I 53.76% NM 51.05%EV -5.04% E -2.71% K -5.87% G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55% NM 48.95%EV -5.04% E -2.60% K -5.36% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-24 02:09
Betsson	1.86I 53.76% NM 50.53%EV -5.04% E -2.71% K -5.87% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 49.47%EV -7.00% E -3.68% K -7.78% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-14 17:10
NordicBet	1.86I 53.76% NM 50.53%EV -5.04% E -2.71% K -5.87% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 49.47%EV -7.00% E -3.68% K -7.78% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-14 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.55% E -3.00% K -6.53% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.55% E -2.33% K -4.79% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-13 18:39
Coral	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -5.55% E -3.00% K -6.53% G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -4.55% E -2.33% K -4.79% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-13 18:40
MyBookie.ag	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -5.55% E -3.00% K -6.53% G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -5.53% E -2.87% K -5.95% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-24 02:18
Paddy Power	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.58% E -3.59% K -7.92% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.51% E -3.41% K -7.15% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.58% E -3.59% K -7.92% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.51% E -3.41% K -7.15% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-14 02:59
Betclic (FR)	1.82I 54.95% NM 51.08%EV -7.09% E -3.89% K -8.64% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 48.92%EV -7.00% E -3.68% K -7.78% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-24 02:20
William Hill	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -8.11% E -4.50% K -10.13% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -2.10% E -1.05% K -2.10% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-05-14 17:05
LeoVegas	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.35%EV -8.11% E -4.50% K -10.13% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 48.65%EV -7.00% E -3.68% K -7.78% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-02 10:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Washington Commanders (Local)	Indianapolis Colts (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.81I 55.25%	1.89I 52.91%	8.2%	2026-06-24 02:10