Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Commanders v Indianapolis Colts

Início: 2026-10-04 13:32 UTC

Final: Washington Commanders 13–30 Indianapolis Colts

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Previsão 33.15%3.02odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.403%
Kelly -0.606%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.27%33.34%33.03%35.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.482.842.862.9840.32%35.24%34.97%33.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visitante)

Previsão 66.85%1.50odd justa
EV -0.400%
Vantagem -0.268%
Kelly -0.816%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.79%66.66%66.97%67.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.431.431.4975.19%69.80%69.93%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Commanders (Local): 33.15%; Indianapolis Colts (Visitante): 66.85%. Para Indianapolis Colts (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.50. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.49, com valor esperado de -0.400%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV -1.20%E -0.403%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-04 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.20%E -0.403%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 13:30
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.07%E -2.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:30
ReBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 12:50
Betsson🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:30
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:30
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:25
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 12:45
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 12:45
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 13:01
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 13:28
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:10
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 13:01
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 13:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 13:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 12:45
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:45
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 12:44
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 13:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 12:15
Caesars🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 12:05
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.18%E -1.81%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -5.18%E -1.81%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:50
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:50
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 13:10
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -0.400%E -0.268%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -0.400%E -0.268%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -0.400%E -0.268%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -0.400%E -0.268%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 11:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.07%E -2.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 11:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 11:00
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 13:25
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.07%E -0.722%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.07%E -0.722%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 11:20
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.74%E -1.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 11:19
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.74%E -1.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 11:19
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.74%E -1.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 11:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 13:30
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 13:30
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.09%E -6.68%K -25.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.07%E -2.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 12:43
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 13:27
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.91%EV -17.78%E -7.17%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.09%EV -11.10%E -8.34%K -33.62%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-03 11:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-10-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-10-04 13:25
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-10-04 13:30
ProphetX◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-10-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-10-04 13:20
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-10-04 11:30
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-04 11:30
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-04 13:01
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-10-04 13:25
BetOpenly◎2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%3.8%2026-10-04 13:29