Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Commanders v Indianapolis Colts

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-04 13:32 UTC

Score final : Washington Commanders 13–30 Indianapolis Colts

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Commanders (Local)

Prévision 33.15%3.02cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.606%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.27%33.34%33.03%35.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.482.842.862.9840.32%35.24%34.97%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.85%1.50cote équitable
EV -0.400%
Avantage -0.268%
Kelly -0.816%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.79%66.66%66.97%67.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.431.431.4975.19%69.80%69.93%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Washington Commanders (Local) : 33.15% ; Indianapolis Colts (Visiteur) : 66.85%. Pour Indianapolis Colts (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.50. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.49, pour une espérance de -0.400% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV -1.20%E -0.403%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-04 13:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.20%E -0.403%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 13:30
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.07%E -2.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -2.53%E -0.859%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:30
ReBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -2.41%E -1.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-04 12:50
Betsson🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -3.52%E -1.21%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:30
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:30
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:25
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 12:45
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 12:45
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 13:01
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 13:28
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 09:10
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 13:01
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 13:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 13:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 12:45
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:45
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 12:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 12:44
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 13:25
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 12:15
Caesars🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.52%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 12:05
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.18%E -1.81%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -5.18%E -1.81%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:50
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:50
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 13:10
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -0.400%E -0.268%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -0.400%E -0.268%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -0.400%E -0.268%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -0.400%E -0.268%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 11:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.07%E -2.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 11:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 11:00
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-04 13:25
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.17%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-04 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.07%E -0.722%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-04 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.07%E -0.722%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 11:20
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.74%E -1.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 11:19
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.74%E -1.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 11:19
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.74%E -1.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 11:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.41%E -3.08%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-04 13:30
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 13:30
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -8.83%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -9.09%E -6.68%K -25.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.07%E -2.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 12:43
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.74%E -2.60%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.42%E -4.58%K -16.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 13:27
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.91%EV -17.78%E -7.17%K -12.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.09%EV -11.10%E -8.34%K -33.62%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-03 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-10-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-10-04 13:25
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-10-04 13:30
ProphetX◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-10-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-10-04 13:20
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-10-04 11:30
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-04 11:30
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-04 13:01
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-10-04 13:25
BetOpenly◎2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%3.8%2026-10-04 13:29