Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Cleveland Browns

2026-09-20 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

71%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prediction 70.90%1.41fair odd

EV -1.44%

Edge -1.04%

Kelly -3.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

69.04%70.90%70.90%72.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.311.351.351.3976%74%74%72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 29.10%3.44fair odd

EV +1.84%

Edge +0.525%

Kelly +0.735%

Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.23%29.10%29.10%30.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.103.283.253.5032%30%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.12%E -5.43%K -22.96%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.84%E +0.525%K +0.735%G +0.013%	4.9%	2026-06-01 20:19
Betr (AU)	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.28%E -3.17%K -12.23%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.44%E -1.67%K -2.42%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-22 17:04
DraftKings	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -1.44%E -1.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -9.80%E -3.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-23 20:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.