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Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Cleveland Browns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)
Prediction 77.30%1.29fair odd
EV -0.286%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.986%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.40%77.17%77.41%79.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.231.241.2989.29%81.07%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Browns (Visit)
Prediction 22.70%4.40fair odd
EV +6.70%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.121%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.88%22.83%22.59%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.174.204.7027.03%24.00%23.81%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local): 77.30%; Cleveland Browns (Visit): 22.70%. For Cleveland Browns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%EV +6.70%E +1.43%K +1.81%G +0.121% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 14:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +1.03%E +0.230%K +0.297%G +0.003% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.110%E -0.025%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.70%E -0.392%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 12:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 12:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.06%E -0.717%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.06%E -0.717%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.06%E -0.717%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 04:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 04:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 08:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 16:33 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 01:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 16:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 11:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 15:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 15:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 15:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -1.83%E -1.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -6.01%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.83%E -1.44%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 16:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 16:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.60%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -0.286%E -0.222%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.06%E -0.827%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -13.43%E -11.99%K -111.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -16.00%E -4.32%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 0.2% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-09-17 22:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |