The School of Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Cleveland Browns

2026-09-20 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

1.3176.34%Min
1.3375.19%Mean
1.3375.19%Median
1.3574.07%Max
70.97%1.409Min
72.77%1.374Max
71.87%1.391Mean
71.87%1.391Median
71.87%1.391IQM
71.82%1.392Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.35 under the IQM model: 71.87%

EV -2.98%Edge -2.21%Kelly -8.52%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Cleveland Browns (Visit)

3.3030.30%Min
3.4029.41%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.5028.57%Max
27.23%3.672Min
29.03%3.444Max
28.13%3.554Mean
28.13%3.554Median
28.13%3.554IQM
28.18%3.549Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.13%

EV -1.53%Edge -0.438%Kelly -0.613%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTampa Bay Buccaneers (Local) ▼Cleveland Browns (Visit)MarginUpdated
Bet Right1.37I 72.99% NM 69.69%EV -1.54% E -1.13% K -4.17% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.31%EV -11.38% E -3.61% K -5.29% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 02:11
DraftKings1.35I 74.07% NM 70.97%EV -2.98% E -2.21% K -8.52% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 29.03%EV -7.16% E -2.17% K -3.11% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:52
Betsson1.32I 75.76% NM 71.30%EV -5.14% E -3.89% K -16.05% G +0.000%3.28I 30.49% NM 28.70%EV -7.72% E -2.35% K -3.39% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 09:51
NordicBet1.32I 75.76% NM 71.30%EV -5.14% E -3.89% K -16.05% G +0.000%3.28I 30.49% NM 28.70%EV -7.72% E -2.35% K -3.39% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 09:54
Caesars1.31I 76.34% NM 72.77%EV -5.86% E -4.47% K -18.89% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.23%EV -1.53% E -0.438% K -0.613% G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth