Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Cleveland Browns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 17:02 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19–23 Cleveland Browns

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Prévision 77.30%1.29cote équitable
EV -0.286%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.986%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.40%77.17%77.41%79.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.121.231.241.2989.29%81.07%80.65%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cleveland Browns (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.70%4.40cote équitable
EV +6.70%
Avantage +1.43%
Kelly +1.81%
Croissance +0.121%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.88%22.83%22.59%25.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.174.204.7027.03%24.00%23.81%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local) : 77.30% ; Cleveland Browns (Visiteur) : 22.70%. Pour Cleveland Browns (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.40. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +6.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%EV +6.70%E +1.43%K +1.81%G +0.121%1.9%2026-09-20 14:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +1.03%E +0.230%K +0.297%G +0.003%5.8%2026-09-20 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.110%E -0.025%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:35
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.70%E -0.392%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 12:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 12:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.06%E -0.717%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.06%E -0.717%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:59
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.06%E -0.717%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:53
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 16:34
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 04:04
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 04:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:33
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:39
betfred_uk🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 01:24
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:35
Everygame🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 11:19
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:34
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:34
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:34
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 15:11
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 20:50
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 15:23
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 15:23
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -1.83%E -1.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -6.01%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 11:10
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.83%E -1.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 16:59
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:43
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:33
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:39
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 16:34
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.60%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:59
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -0.286%E -0.222%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.06%E -0.827%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -13.43%E -11.99%K -111.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -16.00%E -4.32%K -5.93%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-20 16:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-20 16:59
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Matchbook◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:35
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-17 22:15
Polymarket◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-20 11:34
BetOpenly◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-09-20 16:55