Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Cleveland Browns

Início: 2026-09-20 17:02 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19–23 Cleveland Browns

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local)

Previsão 77.30%1.29odd justa
EV -0.286%
Vantagem -0.222%
Kelly -0.986%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.40%77.17%77.41%79.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.121.231.241.2989.29%81.07%80.65%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Browns (Visitante)

Previsão 22.70%4.40odd justa
EV +6.70%
Vantagem +1.43%
Kelly +1.81%
Crescimento +0.121%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.88%22.83%22.59%25.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.174.204.7027.03%24.00%23.81%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Local): 77.30%; Cleveland Browns (Visitante): 22.70%. Para Cleveland Browns (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.40. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.70%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%EV +6.70%E +1.43%K +1.81%G +0.121%1.9%2026-09-20 14:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +1.03%E +0.230%K +0.297%G +0.003%5.8%2026-09-20 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.110%E -0.025%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:35
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.24%E -0.286%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -1.70%E -0.392%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 14:34
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 12:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.38%E -0.553%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 12:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.06%E -0.717%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.06%E -0.717%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:59
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -3.06%E -0.717%K -0.936%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:53
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 16:34
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 04:04
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 04:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.51%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:33
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:39
betfred_uk🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 01:24
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:35
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:35
Everygame🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 11:19
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:34
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:34
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:34
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 20:50
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 15:11
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 20:50
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 15:23
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.65%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 15:23
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.52%EV -1.83%E -1.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.48%EV -6.01%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 11:10
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.15%E -3.35%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.92%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.83%E -1.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-20 16:59
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:43
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:33
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.92%E -4.00%K -21.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.19%E -2.30%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:39
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.24%E -6.04%K -36.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.46%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 16:34
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -12.60%E -3.27%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:59
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -0.286%E -0.222%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -1.06%E -0.827%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.38%E -2.70%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.70%E -4.67%K -25.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.87%E -3.96%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.76%EV -13.43%E -11.99%K -111.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -16.00%E -4.32%K -5.93%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-20 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-09-20 16:59
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Matchbook◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-09-20 16:35
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-17 22:15
Polymarket◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-09-20 11:34
BetOpenly◎1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-09-20 16:55