默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Cleveland Browns

2026-09-20 17:00 UTC — NFL

胜负盘

12 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (主队)

预测 71.82%1.39公平赔率
EV -2.32%
优势 -1.71%
Kelly -6.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.36

博彩公司预测分布
69.66%71.94%71.58%73.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.24%75.47%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cleveland Browns (客队)

预测 28.18%3.55公平赔率
EV +4.26%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.58%
增长率 +0.067%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
26.15%28.06%28.42%30.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.373.353.7032.26%29.66%29.81%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Tampa Bay Buccaneers (主队):71.82%;Cleveland Browns (客队):28.18%。 对于“Cleveland Browns (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.55。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.70,由此产生+4.26%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (12 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -5.91%E -4.52%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +4.26%E +1.15%K +1.58%G +0.067%3.4%2026-09-08 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +2.85%E +0.782%K +1.08%G +0.031%4.3%2026-09-08 19:25
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.91%E -4.52%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.37%E -0.392%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 20:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.20%E -3.94%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.63%E -5.10%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.19%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 19:29
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -4.48%E -3.37%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -5.32%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.48%E -3.37%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.60%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 19:29
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.32%E -1.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -7.01%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 11:45
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.32%E -1.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 11:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.20%E -3.94%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 20:08
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.32%E -1.71%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-08 20:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.04%E -2.25%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -12.64%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 20:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-09-09 03:25
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.95%3.64I 27.47%NM 27.05%1.5%2026-09-09 04:04
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%4.2%2026-09-09 04:19
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%8.7%2026-09-08 20:10