Language:English
Philadelphia Eagles v Washington Commanders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Eagles (Local)
Prediction 69.21%1.44fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.82%69.20%69.37%71.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.371.381.4380.65%72.78%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Commanders (Visit)
Prediction 30.79%3.25fair odd
EV +0.372%
Edge +0.114%
Kelly +0.165%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.98%30.80%30.63%32.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.093.103.2635.71%32.36%32.26%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Eagles (Local): 69.21%; Washington Commanders (Visit): 30.79%. For Washington Commanders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.372%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV +0.372%E +0.114%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 20:12 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 20:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -2.40%E -0.757%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -2.71%E -0.857%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 20:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.03%E -0.719%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 19:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 12:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -5.17%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -7.02%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.41%E -1.71%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 19:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.54%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%EV -10.10%E -3.46%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 20:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.25%E -4.30%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 69.31%EV -14.18%E -11.43%K -59.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.69%EV -13.79%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.10% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.90% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 19:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 13:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-09-13 19:40 |