The School of Odds

Philadelphia Eagles v Washington Commanders

2026-09-13 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (16 in analysis)

Option 1: Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Odds
1.2977.52%Min
1.4568.76%Mean
1.4568.97%Median
1.5564.52%Max
Consensus probabilities
60.96%1.640Min
67.51%1.481Max
65.33%1.531Mean
65.56%1.525Median
65.56%1.525IQM
65.37%1.530Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.55 under the IQM model: 65.56%

EV +1.62%Edge +1.05%Kelly +2.95%Growth +0.048%

Option 2: Washington Commanders (Visit)

Odds
2.4241.32%Min
2.7536.33%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.9533.90%Max
Consensus probabilities
32.49%3.077Min
39.04%2.561Max
34.67%2.884Mean
34.44%2.904Median
34.44%2.904IQM
34.63%2.888Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.95 under the IQM model: 34.44%

EV +1.59%Edge +0.538%Kelly +0.814%Growth +0.013%

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

BookmakerPhiladelphia Eagles (Local) ▼Washington Commanders (Visit)MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52% NM 60.96%EV +1.62% E +1.05% K +2.95% G +0.048%2.42I 41.32% NM 39.04%EV -16.66% E -6.89% K -11.74% G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -1.65% E -1.10% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -8.74% E -3.30% K -5.30% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 08:25
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11% NM 65.11%EV -2.31% E -1.55% K -4.71% G +0.000%2.78I 35.97% NM 34.89%EV -4.27% E -1.54% K -2.40% G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-18 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57% NM 65.42%EV -2.97% E -2.00% K -6.18% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.58%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-21 13:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57% NM 65.42%EV -2.97% E -2.00% K -6.18% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.58%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-21 14:00
BetUS1.48I 67.57% NM 65.42%EV -2.97% E -2.00% K -6.18% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.58%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57% NM 63.81%EV -2.97% E -2.00% K -6.18% G +0.000%2.61I 38.31% NM 36.19%EV -10.12% E -3.88% K -6.29% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 12:59
FanDuel1.47I 68.03% NM 65.57%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.43%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 23:39
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03% NM 65.57%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.43%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-15 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Unibet1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
betPARX1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
BetRivers1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -7.02% E -2.60% K -4.13% G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:40
Bet Right1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -3.62% E -2.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -7.02% E -2.60% K -4.13% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 09:49
Neds1.46I 68.49% NM 65.32%EV -4.28% E -2.93% K -9.30% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.68%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49% NM 65.32%EV -4.28% E -2.93% K -9.30% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.68%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 20:50
BetMGM1.45I 68.97% NM 65.88%EV -4.93% E -3.40% K -10.96% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.12%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 20:49
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.88%EV -4.93% E -3.40% K -10.96% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.12%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 22:29
GTbets1.45I 68.97% NM 65.88%EV -4.93% E -3.40% K -10.96% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.12%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-03 17:45
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97% NM 65.88%EV -4.93% E -3.40% K -10.96% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.12%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 18:00
ReBet1.45I 68.97% NM 65.72%EV -4.93% E -3.40% K -10.96% G +0.000%2.78I 35.97% NM 34.28%EV -4.27% E -1.54% K -2.40% G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 22:39
SportsBet1.45I 68.97% NM 65.64%EV -4.93% E -3.40% K -10.96% G +0.000%2.77I 36.10% NM 34.36%EV -4.61% E -1.66% K -2.61% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 22:59
TAB1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -4.93% E -3.40% K -10.96% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 05:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -4.93% E -3.40% K -10.96% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -7.02% E -2.60% K -4.13% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 05:40
Fanatics1.44I 69.44% NM 66.43%EV -5.59% E -3.88% K -12.70% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 33.57%EV -1.86% E -0.652% K -1.00% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-03 13:50
Caesars1.44I 69.44% NM 66.28%EV -5.59% E -3.88% K -12.70% G +0.000%2.83I 35.34% NM 33.72%EV -2.55% E -0.900% K -1.39% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 16:56
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 66.04%EV -5.59% E -3.88% K -12.70% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 20:49
Coral1.44I 69.44% NM 66.04%EV -5.59% E -3.88% K -12.70% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -3.58% E -1.28% K -1.99% G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 20:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.59% E -3.88% K -12.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.59% E -3.88% K -12.70% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.30% E -1.93% K -3.03% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 07:39
Coolbet1.44I 69.44% NM 65.55%EV -5.59% E -3.88% K -12.70% G +0.000%2.74I 36.50% NM 34.45%EV -5.65% E -2.06% K -3.24% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Bovada1.43I 69.93% NM 67.35%EV -6.24% E -4.37% K -14.52% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 32.65%EV +1.59% E +0.538% K +0.814% G +0.013%3.8%2026-06-16 15:50
Betsson1.43I 69.93% NM 65.87%EV -6.24% E -4.37% K -14.52% G +0.000%2.76I 36.23% NM 34.13%EV -4.96% E -1.80% K -2.82% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 18:39
NordicBet1.43I 69.93% NM 65.87%EV -6.24% E -4.37% K -14.52% G +0.000%2.76I 36.23% NM 34.13%EV -4.96% E -1.80% K -2.82% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 18:39
DraftKings1.42I 70.42% NM 67.51%EV -6.90% E -4.86% K -16.43% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 32.49%EV +1.59% E +0.538% K +0.814% G +0.013%4.3%2026-06-16 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42% NM 65.53%EV -6.90% E -4.86% K -16.43% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.47%EV -7.02% E -2.60% K -4.13% G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 01:19
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42% NM 65.11%EV -6.90% E -4.86% K -16.43% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 34.89%EV -8.74% E -3.30% K -5.30% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-02 10:14
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52% NM 65.96%EV -15.42% E -11.96% K -53.18% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.04%EV -13.91% E -5.56% K -9.27% G +0.000%17.5%2026-06-30 09:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerPhiladelphia Eagles (Local)Washington Commanders (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%2.78I 35.97%4.0%2026-07-02 20:50
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%2.66I 37.59%8.0%2026-06-15 22:30
Arbitrage (4 combinations)+1.61%Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.6%) / DraftKings 2.95 (34.4%)Show all 4 combinations
Philadelphia Eagles (Local)Washington Commanders (Visit)Margin
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.6%)Bovada 2.95 (34.4%)+1.61%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (65.6%)DraftKings 2.95 (34.4%)+1.61%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.8%)Fanatics 2.85 (35.2%)+0.398%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.6%)Caesars 2.83 (35.4%)+0.148%