默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Eagles v Washington Commanders

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 20:25 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Eagles 24–22 Washington Commanders

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Eagles (主队)

预测 69.21%1.44公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.719%
Kelly -2.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
67.82%69.20%69.37%71.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.371.381.4380.65%72.78%72.46%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Commanders (客队)

预测 30.79%3.25公平赔率
EV +0.372%
优势 +0.114%
Kelly +0.165%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.26

博彩公司预测分布
28.98%30.80%30.63%32.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.093.103.2635.71%32.36%32.26%30.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Eagles (主队):69.21%;Washington Commanders (客队):30.79%。 对于“Washington Commanders (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.25。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.26,对应+0.372%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV +0.372%E +0.114%K +0.165%G +0.001%5.9%2026-09-13 20:10
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Everygame🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 13:35
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:12
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 20:14
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -2.40%E -0.757%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -2.71%E -0.857%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:14
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:15
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:15
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.03%E -0.719%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-13 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:50
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 19:15
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 12:45
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -5.17%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 19:20
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -7.02%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.41%E -1.71%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 19:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:45
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:45
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.54%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%EV -10.10%E -3.46%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.25%E -4.30%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.31%EV -14.18%E -11.43%K -59.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.69%EV -13.79%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-13 20:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-09-13 20:20
BetOpenly◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.10%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.90%0.5%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:15
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-13 19:20
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-13 13:24
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-09-13 19:40