La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Eagles v Washington Commanders

2026-09-13 20:25 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Predicción 65.25%1.53momio equitativo
EV +1.14%
Ventaja +0.733%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.96%65.00%65.19%66.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.461.461.5576.92%68.57%68.49%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Commanders (Visitante)

Predicción 34.75%2.88momio equitativo
EV -0.959%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.518%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.57%35.00%34.81%39.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.422.732.752.8541.32%36.59%36.36%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV +1.14%E +0.733%K +2.06%G +0.023%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -15.90%E -6.57%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.13%E -1.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 08:50
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.78%E -1.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.39%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-18 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-21 13:59
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-21 14:00
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 17:20
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 19:05
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 18:10
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 02:10
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -3.43%E -2.32%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -9.30%E -3.56%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 12:59
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 23:40
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.08%E -2.78%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 23:40
Caesars1.46I 68.49%NM 65.81%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.19%EV -2.35%E -0.836%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:20
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 19:04
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 20:50
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.74%E -3.24%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 19:05
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 20:49
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-03 17:45
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -3.74%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 22:59
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 05:40
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:05
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-12 05:40
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.17%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 19:30
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.39%E -3.72%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 19:03
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.959%E -0.336%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 06:50
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.959%E -0.336%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 10:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 20:49
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.70%E -0.963%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 20:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-14 23:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.20%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.43%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 07:39
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:30
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -7.21%E -2.70%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 19:30
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.35%E -5.17%K -17.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.91%E -2.98%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 10:45
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.33%EV -15.18%E -11.67%K -50.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.67%EV -14.86%E -6.06%K -10.25%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-20 13:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-07-26 00:04
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%8.6%2026-07-20 19:05
Arbitraje (2 combinaciones) +0.40%Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.8%) / Fanatics 2.85 (35.2%)Ver las 2 combinaciones
Philadelphia Eagles (Local)Washington Commanders (Visitante)Margen
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.8%)Fanatics 2.85 (35.2%)+0.398%
Marathon Bet 1.55 (64.8%)Hard Rock Bet 2.85 (35.2%)+0.398%