Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Eagles v Washington Commanders

Inicio: 2026-09-13 20:25 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Eagles 24–22 Washington Commanders

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Predicción 69.21%1.44momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.719%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.82%69.20%69.37%71.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.371.381.4380.65%72.78%72.46%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Commanders (Visitante)

Predicción 30.79%3.25momio equitativo
EV +0.372%
Ventaja +0.114%
Kelly +0.165%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.98%30.80%30.63%32.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.2635.71%32.36%32.26%30.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Eagles (Local): 69.21%; Washington Commanders (Visitante): 30.79%. Para Washington Commanders (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.25. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.26, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.372%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV +0.372%E +0.114%K +0.165%G +0.001%5.9%2026-09-13 20:10
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Everygame🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 13:35
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:12
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 20:14
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -2.40%E -0.757%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -2.71%E -0.857%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:14
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:15
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:15
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.03%E -0.719%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-13 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:50
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 19:15
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 12:45
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -5.17%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 19:20
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -7.02%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.41%E -1.71%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 19:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:45
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:45
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.54%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%EV -10.10%E -3.46%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.25%E -4.30%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.31%EV -14.18%E -11.43%K -59.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.69%EV -13.79%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-13 20:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-09-13 20:20
BetOpenly◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.10%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.90%0.5%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:15
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-13 19:20
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-13 13:24
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-09-13 19:40