Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Eagles v Washington Commanders

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 20:25 UTC

Score final : Philadelphia Eagles 24–22 Washington Commanders

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Philadelphia Eagles (Local)

Prévision 69.21%1.44cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.719%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.82%69.20%69.37%71.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.371.381.4380.65%72.78%72.46%69.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Washington Commanders (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.79%3.25cote équitable
EV +0.372%
Avantage +0.114%
Kelly +0.165%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.98%30.80%30.63%32.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.093.103.2635.71%32.36%32.26%30.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Philadelphia Eagles (Local) : 69.21% ; Washington Commanders (Visiteur) : 30.79%. Pour Washington Commanders (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.25. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.26, soit une espérance positive de +0.372%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV +0.372%E +0.114%K +0.165%G +0.001%5.9%2026-09-13 20:10
Betway🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Everygame🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 13:35
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:12
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:15
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.48%E -0.461%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 20:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -1.78%E -0.559%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 20:14
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.37%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.63%EV -2.40%E -0.757%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -2.71%E -0.857%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:14
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:15
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.01%E -0.957%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:15
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.03%E -0.719%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-13 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:35
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 19:50
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 19:15
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.18%E -3.78%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.55%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 12:45
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -5.17%E -1.68%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 19:20
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.09%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.80%E -2.73%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -7.02%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.41%E -1.71%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 19:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:45
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.95%E -5.98%K -24.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.63%E -2.54%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 19:45
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.10%E -2.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.49%E -3.25%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.17%E -3.11%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 19:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.54%EV -7.26%E -5.42%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%EV -10.10%E -3.46%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.87%E -4.32%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.71%E -3.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.57%E -4.86%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.25%E -4.30%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.31%EV -14.18%E -11.43%K -59.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.69%EV -13.79%E -4.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-13 20:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-09-13 20:20
BetOpenly◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.10%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.90%0.5%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:15
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:20
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 20:15
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-13 19:20
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-09-13 13:24
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-09-13 19:40