Language:English
New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New England Patriots (Local)
Prediction 61.98%1.61fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.45%62.04%62.03%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.541.541.5872.46%65.14%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)
Prediction 38.02%2.63fair odd
EV -0.394%
Edge -0.150%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.96%37.97%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.512.502.6243.86%39.84%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New England Patriots (Local): 61.98%; Las Vegas Raiders (Visit): 38.02%. For Las Vegas Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -0.394%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.07%E -1.31%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.91%E -0.742%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -4.58%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 15:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.72%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-11 16:57 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-11 16:48 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -6.10%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.394%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-11 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-11 16:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -1.53%E -0.592%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-11 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.91%E -0.742%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 21:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 10:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 15:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.10%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 15:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 16:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 16:48 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.89%E -6.04%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.30%EV -14.46%E -10.48%K -38.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.70%EV -13.32%E -5.84%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 0.5% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 05:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-10-11 15:10 |