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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders

Inicio: 2026-10-11 17:03 UTC

Final: New England Patriots 45–17 Las Vegas Raiders

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New England Patriots (Local)

Predicción 61.98%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -3.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.45%62.04%62.03%63.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.541.541.5872.46%65.14%64.94%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Las Vegas Raiders (Visitante)

Predicción 38.02%2.63momio equitativo
EV -0.394%
Ventaja -0.150%
Kelly -0.243%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.96%37.97%39.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.512.502.6243.86%39.84%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New England Patriots (Local): 61.98%; Las Vegas Raiders (Visitante): 38.02%. Para Las Vegas Raiders (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.63. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.62, con un valor esperado de -0.394%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.07%E -1.31%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.91%E -0.742%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-11 16:49
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -4.58%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 15:29
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.72%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:54
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-11 16:57
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 16:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:48
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:29
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -6.10%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:54
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.394%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 16:05
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 16:52
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -1.53%E -0.592%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 16:44
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:50
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:50
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:49
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.91%E -0.742%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 10:04
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:59
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:29
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:50
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:39
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.10%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 15:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 16:48
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 16:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.89%E -6.04%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.30%EV -14.46%E -10.48%K -38.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.70%EV -13.32%E -5.84%K -10.41%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-11 16:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-11 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-11 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-11 16:50
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-10-11 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-10-11 17:00
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-11 05:49
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-05 14:30
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-10-11 16:59
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-10-11 15:10