Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders

Início: 2026-10-11 17:03 UTC

Final: New England Patriots 45–17 Las Vegas Raiders

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New England Patriots (Local)

Previsão 61.98%1.61odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.45%62.04%62.03%63.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.541.541.5872.46%65.14%64.94%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Las Vegas Raiders (Visitante)

Previsão 38.02%2.63odd justa
EV -0.394%
Vantagem -0.150%
Kelly -0.243%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.59%37.96%37.97%39.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.512.502.6243.86%39.84%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New England Patriots (Local): 61.98%; Las Vegas Raiders (Visitante): 38.02%. Para Las Vegas Raiders (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.63. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.62, com valor esperado de -0.394%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.07%E -1.31%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.91%E -0.742%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-11 16:49
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -4.58%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 15:29
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.72%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:54
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-11 16:57
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 16:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:48
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:29
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -6.10%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:54
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.394%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 16:05
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 16:52
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -1.53%E -0.592%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 16:44
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:50
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:50
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:49
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.91%E -0.742%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 10:04
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:59
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:29
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:50
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:39
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.10%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 15:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 16:48
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 16:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.89%E -6.04%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.30%EV -14.46%E -10.48%K -38.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.70%EV -13.32%E -5.84%K -10.41%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-11 16:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-11 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-11 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-11 16:50
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-10-11 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-10-11 17:00
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-11 05:49
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-05 14:30
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-10-11 16:59
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-10-11 15:10