Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-11 17:03 UTC

Score final : New England Patriots 45–17 Las Vegas Raiders

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New England Patriots (Local)

Prévision 61.98%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -3.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.45%62.04%62.03%63.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.541.541.5872.46%65.14%64.94%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Las Vegas Raiders (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.02%2.63cote équitable
EV -0.394%
Avantage -0.150%
Kelly -0.243%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%37.96%37.97%39.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.512.502.6243.86%39.84%40.00%38.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New England Patriots (Local) : 61.98% ; Las Vegas Raiders (Visiteur) : 38.02%. Pour Las Vegas Raiders (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.63. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.62, pour une espérance de -0.394% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.07%E -1.31%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.91%E -0.742%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-11 16:49
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -4.58%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 15:29
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.72%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-11 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.69%E -1.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:54
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-11 16:57
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.29%E -0.893%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-11 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.31%E -2.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-11 16:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.44%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:48
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:29
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -6.10%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:54
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.93%E -2.53%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -0.394%E -0.150%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-11 16:05
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 16:52
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -1.53%E -0.592%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-11 16:44
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:50
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:50
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:49
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.55%E -2.95%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-11 16:50
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.91%E -0.742%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 10:04
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:59
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 15:29
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:50
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:39
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.10%E -2.47%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.96%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 17:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.15%E -0.444%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 15:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 16:48
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 16:48
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.03%E -4.68%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.76%E -3.65%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.05%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.95%EV -8.00%E -3.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.89%E -6.04%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.86%E -2.80%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 16:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.30%EV -14.46%E -10.48%K -38.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.70%EV -13.32%E -5.84%K -10.41%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-11 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-11 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-11 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-10-11 16:50
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-10-11 16:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-10-11 17:00
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-11 05:49
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-05 14:30
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-10-11 16:59
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-10-11 15:10