Language:English
Minnesota Vikings v Miami Dolphins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Vikings (Local)
Prediction 81.08%1.23fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.890%
Kelly -4.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.71%81.08%81.17%82.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.171.171.2293.46%85.24%85.47%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Dolphins (Visit)
Prediction 18.92%5.28fair odd
EV +4.08%
Edge +0.741%
Kelly +0.906%
Growth +0.037%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.54%18.92%18.83%21.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.355.035.105.5022.99%19.86%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 81.08%; Miami Dolphins (Visit): 18.92%. For Miami Dolphins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.32%E +0.608%K +0.744%G +0.025% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.32%E +0.608%K +0.744%G +0.025% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +2.18%E +0.405%K +0.497%G +0.011% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -3.30%E -0.646%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -3.30%E -0.646%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -4.25%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -1.09%E -0.890%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.28%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.28%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.22%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 20:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 23:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -9.19%E -8.21%K -76.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 19:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.85%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 06:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.85%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -16.74%E -3.80%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 80.26%EV -13.25%E -12.38%K -189.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.74%EV -17.68%E -4.07%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.93% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 18.07% | 0.1% | 2026-10-04 20:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |