Minnesota Vikings v Miami Dolphins

2026-10-04 20:05 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Odds

1.2679.37%Min

1.2779.05%Mean

1.2779.05%Median

1.2778.74%Max

Consensus probabilities

74.95%1.334Min

76.05%1.315Max

75.50%1.325Mean

75.50%1.325Median

75.50%1.325IQM

75.53%1.324Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.27 under the IQM model: 75.50%

EV -4.12%Edge -3.24%Kelly -15.25%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Odds

3.8026.32%Min

3.9025.64%Mean

3.9025.64%Median

4.0025.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

23.95%4.175Min

25.05%3.992Max

24.50%4.081Mean

24.50%4.081Median

24.50%4.081IQM

24.47%4.087Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.50%

EV -1.99%Edge -0.498%Kelly -0.664%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Minnesota Vikings (Local) ▼	Miami Dolphins (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Bet Right	1.27I 78.74% NM 75.20%EV -4.12% E -3.24% K -15.25% G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97% NM 24.80%EV -5.67% E -1.47% K -1.99% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.27I 78.74% NM 74.95%EV -4.12% E -3.24% K -15.25% G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32% NM 25.05%EV -6.89% E -1.81% K -2.46% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-15 22:29
DraftKings	1.26I 79.37% NM 76.05%EV -4.87% E -3.87% K -18.74% G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00% NM 23.95%EV -1.99% E -0.498% K -0.664% G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-30 09:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth