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Minnesota Vikings v Miami Dolphins
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Vikings (Local)
Predicción 81.08%1.23momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.890%
Kelly -4.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.71%81.08%81.17%82.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.071.171.171.2293.46%85.24%85.47%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miami Dolphins (Visitante)
Predicción 18.92%5.28momio equitativo
EV +4.08%
Ventaja +0.741%
Kelly +0.906%
Crecimiento +0.037%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.54%18.92%18.83%21.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.355.035.105.5022.99%19.86%19.61%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 81.08%; Miami Dolphins (Visitante): 18.92%. Para Miami Dolphins (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.28. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.08%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.32%E +0.608%K +0.744%G +0.025% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.32%E +0.608%K +0.744%G +0.025% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +2.18%E +0.405%K +0.497%G +0.011% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -3.30%E -0.646%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -3.30%E -0.646%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -4.25%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -1.09%E -0.890%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.28%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.28%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.22%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 20:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 23:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -9.19%E -8.21%K -76.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 19:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.85%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 06:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.85%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -16.74%E -3.80%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 80.26%EV -13.25%E -12.38%K -189.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.74%EV -17.68%E -4.07%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-10-04 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.93% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 18.07% | 0.1% | 2026-10-04 20:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.6% | 2026-10-04 20:05 |