Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Vikings v Miami Dolphins

Início: 2026-10-04 20:05 UTC

Final: Minnesota Vikings 15–10 Miami Dolphins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Previsão 81.08%1.23odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.890%
Kelly -4.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.71%81.08%81.17%82.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.071.171.171.2293.46%85.24%85.47%81.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Dolphins (Visitante)

Previsão 18.92%5.28odd justa
EV +4.08%
Vantagem +0.741%
Kelly +0.906%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.54%18.92%18.83%21.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.355.035.105.5022.99%19.86%19.61%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 81.08%; Miami Dolphins (Visitante): 18.92%. Para Miami Dolphins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.28. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037%3.7%2026-10-04 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037%3.7%2026-10-04 20:05
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037%3.7%2026-10-04 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.32%E +0.608%K +0.744%G +0.025%3.8%2026-10-04 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.32%E +0.608%K +0.744%G +0.025%3.8%2026-10-04 16:10
Everygame🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +2.18%E +0.405%K +0.497%G +0.011%4.0%2026-10-04 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 18:21
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 20:05
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 20:05
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 19:45
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:55
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 19:50
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -3.30%E -0.646%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 20:05
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -3.30%E -0.646%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:20
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:21
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:20
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -4.25%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 20:00
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -1.09%E -0.890%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-04 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 20:05
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.28%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.28%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.22%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 20:04
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 19:50
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 18:45
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 23:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -9.19%E -8.21%K -76.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 20:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 20:05
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:38
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.85%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 06:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.85%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 17:05
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -16.74%E -3.80%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 80.26%EV -13.25%E -12.38%K -189.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.74%EV -17.68%E -4.07%K -5.28%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-04 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.93%5.53I 18.08%NM 18.07%0.1%2026-10-04 20:04
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-10-04 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-10-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-10-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-10-04 20:05
Polymarket◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-10-04 17:10
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-10-04 12:45
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-10-04 20:05
ProphetX◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-10-04 20:05
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-10-04 20:05