Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota Vikings v Miami Dolphins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-10-04 20:05 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Vikings 15–10 Miami Dolphins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prévision 81.08%1.23cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.890%
Kelly -4.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.71%81.08%81.17%82.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.071.171.171.2293.46%85.24%85.47%81.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Miami Dolphins (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.92%5.28cote équitable
EV +4.08%
Avantage +0.741%
Kelly +0.906%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.54%18.92%18.83%21.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.355.035.105.5022.99%19.86%19.61%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Minnesota Vikings (Local) : 81.08% ; Miami Dolphins (Visiteur) : 18.92%. Pour Miami Dolphins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.28. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +4.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037%3.7%2026-10-04 19:50
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037%3.7%2026-10-04 20:05
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +4.08%E +0.741%K +0.906%G +0.037%3.7%2026-10-04 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.32%E +0.608%K +0.744%G +0.025%3.8%2026-10-04 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV +3.32%E +0.608%K +0.744%G +0.025%3.8%2026-10-04 16:10
Everygame🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +2.18%E +0.405%K +0.497%G +0.011%4.0%2026-10-04 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 18:21
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-04 20:05
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 20:05
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 19:45
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.654%E -0.125%K -0.154%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 19:55
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 19:50
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.60%E -0.308%K -0.381%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -3.30%E -0.646%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 20:05
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -3.30%E -0.646%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:20
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:21
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:20
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.49%E -0.685%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.17%EV -4.25%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 20:00
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -1.09%E -0.890%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-04 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-04 20:05
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.33%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.28%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.95%E -5.13%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.28%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.22%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-04 20:04
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 19:50
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.33%E -3.67%K -24.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 18:45
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-03 23:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -9.19%E -8.21%K -76.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.17%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 20:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 20:05
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.14%E -4.39%K -30.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.12%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-04 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -6.76%E -5.88%K -45.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.95%E -2.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:38
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.85%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 06:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.71%E -2.26%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.85%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 17:05
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -3.52%E -2.96%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -16.74%E -3.80%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 80.26%EV -13.25%E -12.38%K -189.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.74%EV -17.68%E -4.07%K -5.28%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-04 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.93%5.53I 18.08%NM 18.07%0.1%2026-10-04 20:04
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-10-04 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-10-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-10-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-10-04 20:05
Polymarket◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-10-04 17:10
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-10-04 12:45
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-10-04 20:05
ProphetX◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.5%2026-10-04 20:05
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.6%2026-10-04 20:05