Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs v Indianapolis Colts

Início: 2026-09-21 00:22 UTC

Final: Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 Indianapolis Colts

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Previsão 70.39%1.42odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -3.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.18%70.26%70.50%72.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.191.351.351.4084.03%74.28%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visitante)

Previsão 29.61%3.38odd justa
EV +3.64%
Vantagem +1.04%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescimento +0.053%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.69%29.74%29.50%31.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.253.253.5033.33%30.80%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kansas City Chiefs (Local): 70.39%; Indianapolis Colts (Visitante): 29.61%. Para Indianapolis Colts (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.38. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.64%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV +3.64%E +1.04%K +1.46%G +0.053%3.2%2026-09-20 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +2.16%E +0.626%K +0.881%G +0.019%4.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%1.9%2026-09-21 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%4.6%2026-09-20 19:29
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.677%E +0.199%K +0.282%G +0.002%5.2%2026-09-20 09:29
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 00:09
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-21 00:19
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 20:24
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.803%E -0.240%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-21 00:19
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.91%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.09%EV -1.10%E -0.329%K -0.470%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 23:34
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 22:09
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 00:17
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-21 00:09
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 05:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 04:59
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.28%E -0.692%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 05:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 13:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 00:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.877%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-21 00:19
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV -2.16%E -1.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV -3.47%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-21 00:10
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 00:14
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 00:14
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-21 00:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 05:04
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.97%E -3.69%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.90%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 00:19
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.38%E -4.80%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.24%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 05:04
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:39
TAB🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 05:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.57%E -2.60%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 00:14
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:19
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:14
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-21 00:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -7.79%E -5.95%K -25.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 00:19
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 71.93%EV -16.24%E -13.64%K -85.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -9.69%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 09:29
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.46%E -1.04%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-21 00:19
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:19
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-21 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.09%E -5.37%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.17%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 23:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-21 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-21 00:15
Polymarket◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-20 21:09
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-19 21:54
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-21 00:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-21 00:19
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-09-21 00:19
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-09-21 00:19
BetOpenly◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.10%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.90%2.7%2026-09-21 00:19